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CMI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Cummins is positioned well in the clean energy transition, with strong fundamentals and stable earnings supporting future growth. Recent stability in implied volatility suggests solid market confidence.



Bearish Case: Past governance issues, market skepticism, and a higher volume of traded put options signal potential downside risks. Concerns about Cummins' adaptation to ongoing industry shifts remain significant.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 80%: Stable dividend growth and strategic positioning boost Cummins.
  • 15%: Unexpected governance issues resurface, affecting stock.
  • 5%: Significant market disruptions hinder progress.



Trading Oracle: Exploit low implied volatility by establishing a bull call spread with a medium-term outlook. Buy $370 calls, sell $390 calls expiring in June 2025. This strategy yields high reward:risk, aligning with Cummins' clean energy momentum and market sentiment.


February 07, 2025


Cummins Forecast

CMI        Cummins

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