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CMI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: CMI’s robust financials, increased clean energy investments, and low implied volatility suggest a continued upward trajectory. Enhanced operational efficiency and positive market sentiment support this perspective.



Bearish Case: Lingering governance issues and market volatility, combined with high short-term implied volatility, pose risks that could lead to downward pressure on CMI's stock price.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued revenue growth and market share expansion (60%).


2. Regulatory issues resurfacing to impact investor confidence (25%).


3. Broader market volatility leading to stock price fluctuation (15%).



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a long call spread; buy $380 strike calls and sell $390 calls expiring in March 2025. This strategy allows for bullish positioning with limited risk, taking advantage of low implied volatility and potential upward movement in CMI as market conditions stabilize.


December 03, 2024


Cummins Forecast

CMI        Cummins

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CMI


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.95)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.94)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (0.93)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.92)


EWC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWC  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Canada (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMI


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.0)


AMED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMED  Amedisys (-0.02)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.02)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.03)


HPK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HPK  HighPeak Energy (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMI


FOXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXF  Fox Factory (-0.85)


EDIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDIT  Editas Medicine (-0.85)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.86)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.91)







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