CMI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Positive market sentiment driven by CMI's investments in clean energy and strategic positioning suggests potential growth. Current implied volatility supports a steady upward trend.




Bearish Case: Lingering governance issues and a recent dip in stock price highlight potential risks. Elevated implied volatility could indicate market concerns about short-term performance.




Potential Outcomes: Continued growth driven by clean energy initiatives and stable financials (60%). Potential dips due to governance issues (30%). Flat performance amidst broader market volatility (10%).




Trading Oracle:
Utilize a Bullish Short Volatility Strategy. Sell ATM put options and buy OOTM put options due to the positive growth potential and an attractive risk profile. Current low implied volatility presents an edge for this setup.



April 04, 2025


Cummins Forecast

CMI        Cummins











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CMI



AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.94)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.92)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.92)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.91)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CMI



WNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNS  WNS Holdings Limited (0.0)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.02)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CMI



VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.73)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.77)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.84)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.84)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.85)









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