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COM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: COM's implied volatility is stabilizing, and historical data shows moderate return potential. Easing geopolitical tensions and increasing demand for commodities can drive price recovery.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests uncertainty. Past returns show frequent declines. Economic uncertainties, heightened geopolitical risks, and strong USD could pressure prices downward.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of stability (0%-1.5%), 25% chance of moderate rise (1.5%-5%), 15% chance of decline (>5%).

April 26, 2025

Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy Forecast

COM Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COM

RYAAY Ryanair (0.71)

TAL TAL Education (0.64)

ETR Entergy (0.64)

INTC Intel (0.63)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COM

BBY Best Buy (0.0)

RL Ralph Lauren (0.0)

DDOG Datadog (-0.0)

NBR Nabors Industries (-0.0)

ET Energy Transfer LP (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COM

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.45)

EA Electronic Arts (-0.54)

JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.59)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.6)

MUSA Murphy USA (-0.74)

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