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AI CSB Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: CSB shows potential for mean reversion, supported by high historical returns with a likelihood of upside movements based on current implied volatility trends, suggesting a possible rally.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility signifies market uncertainty, combined with recent price declines indicating bearish sentiment; macroeconomic factors could trigger further downward movement.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Mean Reversion Rally (45%) - Historical patterns support this.

2. Continued Price Decline (35%) - High volatility may lead to panic selling.

3. Sideways Trend (20%) - Stagnation in the absence of news.

Trading Oracle: Implement a Long Volatility debit spread by buying CSB $58 calls and selling $60 calls. This captures upside in a volatile environment while limiting risk. Ideal for a bullish outlook, aiming for a quick timeline to capitalize on price spikes.

August 15, 2024


Victory Portfolios II - VictoryShares US Small Cap High Div Volatility Wtd Forecast

CSB      Victory Portfolios II - VictoryShares US Small Cap High Div Volatility Wtd

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CSB


IAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Regional Banks (0.96)


STT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STT  State Street (0.93)


WAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WAL  Western Alliance Bancorp (0.91)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.9)


URTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URTY  ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CSB


LSXMA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSXMA  Liberty Media Corp. (Tracking Stock - SiriusXM) Series (-0.0)


FVRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FVRR  Fiverr (-0.0)


UPWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPWK  Upwork (0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.0)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CSB


BOIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOIL  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.73)


CANE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CANE  Teucrium Sugar (-0.77)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.87)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.89)



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