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CWT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CWT may benefit from potential CPUC approvals and improved sentiment, leveraging low volatility expectations against market fears Helium Helium.

Bearish Case: Continued financial struggles and high volatility imply downside risks, compounded by macroeconomic pressures and regulatory uncertainty Helium Helium.

Potential Outcomes: CPUC approval improves finances (40%) Helium.
Continued financial struggles (50%) Helium.
Regulatory setbacks decrease demand (25%) Helium.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish debit spread: buy CWT $50 puts, sell $45 puts, expiring in ~90 days. This strategy leverages high implied volatility for higher profit potential, aligning with current downtrend and social media concerns.

December 24, 2024

California Water Service Forecast

CWT California Water Service

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CWT

FE Firstenergy (0.84)

KO Coca-Cola (0.82)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.82)

EIX Edison International (0.81)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CWT

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners (-0.01)

CNXC Concentrix (-0.02)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.03)

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CWT

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.66)

TREX TREX Co. (-0.66)

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.7)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.71)

IRTC iRhythm (-0.78)

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