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DEI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Given DEI's historical mean-reversion, potential price recovery is supported by strategic property locations and recent institutional investments.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and market skepticism, coupled with potential regulatory setbacks, suggest further downside risk for DEI.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of moderate recovery due to historical mean-reversion trends.
40% risk of decline driven by continued negative sentiment and elevated volatility.
10% potential for significant rally from any positive regulatory news.
5% risk of drastic downturn from unexpected regulatory pressures.

April 22, 2025

Douglas Emmett Forecast

DEI Douglas Emmett

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEI

COLB Columbia Banking System (0.94)

MTB M & T (0.92)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.92)

QTWO Q2 (0.92)

KKR KKR (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEI

BAH Booz Allen Hamilton (0.0)

DV DoubleVerify (0.0)

ZIM Zim Integrated Shipping Services (0.01)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)

SIG Signet Jewelers (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEI

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.71)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.71)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.75)

DG Dollar General (-0.79)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.88)

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