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DEI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Mean-reversion and positive earnings sentiment could propel DEI's price up, especially with recent volume favoring calls.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and ongoing regulatory concerns create a risk of further declines in DEI’s stock.

Potential Outcomes: 55% chance of moderate recovery; 25% risk of further decline due to regulatory impact; 20% chance of significant rally from positive earnings insights.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread by buying DEI 17.50 calls and selling DEI 20.00 calls, targeting a 2-month expiration. This capitalizes on potential mean-reversion with favorable implied volatility structures.

February 18, 2025

Douglas Emmett Forecast

DEI Douglas Emmett

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEI

KBE SPDR Series Trust - SPDR S&P (0.95)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.93)

TPB Turning Point Brands (0.92)

EVRG Evergy (0.92)

CMPO CompoSecure (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEI

URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.0)

INTU Intuit (0.0)

AL Air Lease Corp (0.01)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.01)

CPS Cooper-Standard (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEI

COTY Coty (-0.84)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.85)

HDSN Hudson Technologies (-0.85)

XRX Xerox (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

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