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DEI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Given DEI's historical mean-reversion, potential price recovery is supported by strategic property locations and recent institutional investments.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and market skepticism, coupled with potential regulatory setbacks, suggest further downside risk for DEI.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of moderate recovery due to historical mean-reversion trends.
  • 40% risk of decline driven by continued negative sentiment and elevated volatility.
  • 10% potential for significant rally from any positive regulatory news.
  • 5% risk of drastic downturn from unexpected regulatory pressures.


April 22, 2025


Douglas Emmett Forecast

DEI        Douglas Emmett

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEI


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.92)


QTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QTWO  Q2 (0.92)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.92)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.92)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEI


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.0)


BAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAH  Booz Allen Hamilton (0.0)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.01)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEI


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.69)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.69)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.71)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.75)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.88)







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