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DEI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DEI's strategic locations in high-demand markets and decreased implied volatility suggest potential recovery. Historical trends indicate likely mean reversion, supported by increased call volume.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility for DEI options indicates market uncertainty. Regulatory challenges and declining sentiment due to DEI policy rollbacks contribute to downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 70% chance of recovery due to price mean reversion and stable position in prime markets. 30% risk of decline from policy backlash and regulatory challenges.

May 21, 2025

Douglas Emmett Forecast

DEI Douglas Emmett

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DEI

RPM RPM International (0.93)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.91)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.91)

KKR KKR (0.91)

KIM Kimco Realty (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DEI

JNUG Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (-0.0)

SCS Steelcase (0.0)

APG APi (-0.01)

NGG National Grid (-0.01)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DEI

NTR Nutrien (-0.52)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.56)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.71)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.72)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.75)

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