DIN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: DIN may benefit from improving consumer sentiment and effective promotional strategies increasing foot traffic.




Bearish Case: DIN faces high inflation and competitive pressures which could deter consumer spending, maintaining downward pressure on prices.




Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of moderate recovery; 50% chance of stagnation; 15% risk of further decline due to macroeconomic factors.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread by selling DIN 30 C and buying 35 C with ~116 days expiry. Favor bearish short volatility due to high implied volatility and mean-reverting price action. Positive edge and high probability of profit.



February 25, 2025


Dine Brands Forecast

DIN        Dine Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIN



AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.89)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.89)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (0.89)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.88)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIN



GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (0.0)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (-0.01)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.01)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIN



ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.8)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.81)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.81)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.82)


LTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTH  Life Time (-0.82)









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