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DIN Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: DIN may benefit from improving consumer sentiment and effective promotional strategies increasing foot traffic.

Bearish Case: DIN faces high inflation and competitive pressures which could deter consumer spending, maintaining downward pressure on prices.

Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of moderate recovery; 50% chance of stagnation; 15% risk of further decline due to macroeconomic factors.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread by selling DIN 30 C and buying 35 C with ~116 days expiry. Favor bearish short volatility due to high implied volatility and mean-reverting price action. Positive edge and high probability of profit.

February 25, 2025

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