EFSC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EFSC's mean-reverting nature and low price-to-book ratio, combined with renewed institutional interest, suggest a potential rally—supported by moderate implied volatility at higher strikes.




Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility at lower strikes and operational challenges hint at possible downside, especially given macroeconomic pressures and an earnings miss possibility.




Potential Outcomes:

35% chance of a modest rally due to earnings beat.

45% chance of price decline from missed earnings or macroeconomic headwinds.

20% chance of stable or sideways movement on mixed results.



April 24, 2025


Enterprise Financial Services Forecast

EFSC        Enterprise Financial Services











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EFSC



MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.94)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.93)


CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRH  CRH Plc (0.93)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.93)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EFSC



AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (-0.0)


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (-0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.0)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.01)


PRAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRAA  PRA (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EFSC



ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.77)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.78)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.8)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.83)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.88)









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