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EHC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EHC shows resilience with steady demand in rehabilitation services, and recent strategic moves may enhance growth. Options show more call volume, indicating investor optimism.

Bearish Case: Rising operational costs and healthcare sector challenges could pressure margins, with high options volatility indicating potential price swings and market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of 20% price increase from expansion.
30% chance of 10% drop due to cost issues.
30% chance of stability as the market evaluates risks.

Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread targeting $100/$105 calls expiring in June 2025, aligning with expected upward momentum and exploiting backwardation for favorable volatility. Optimize alpha by leveraging heightened call volume.

February 13, 2025

Encompass Health Forecast

EHC Encompass Health

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EHC

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.93)

PPC Pilgrim's Pride (0.93)

EVRG Evergy (0.92)

SPYV SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.92)

PM Philip Morris International (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EHC

VOD Vodafone (0.01)

AMRC Ameresco (-0.01)

DKL Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (0.02)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.02)

CRC California Resources (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EHC

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.82)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.84)

ASML New York Shares (-0.84)

GES Guess (-0.85)

XRX Xerox (-0.88)

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