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EIG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EIG's undervaluation and potential demand growth from legislative support and a strong labor market position it for recovery despite existing hesitations.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests market skepticism with potential downside risks from economic pressure and persistent regulatory costs impacting margins.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Economic growth strengthens EIG demand (60%).

2. Regulatory costs rise, squeezing margins (30%).

3. Neutral trend from job market uncertainties (10%).

July 01, 2025

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EIG Employers

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EIG

CRH CRH Plc (0.78)

ZG Zillow (0.76)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.75)

HNST Honest Company Inc (The ) (0.75)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EIG

OKTA Okta (-0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (-0.0)

RACE Ferrari (-0.0)

NKE Nike (0.0)

FAST Fastenal (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EIG

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.6)

STM New York Shares (-0.62)

TTE TotalEnergies SE (-0.64)

VSAT Viasat (-0.64)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.71)

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