ERJ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ERJ's strategic focus in Asia and electric aviation boosts growth prospects, supported by strong delivery momentum and partnerships.




Bearish Case: Financial instability and market competition remain risks. High volatility and economic uncertainties could pressure stock performance.




Potential Outcomes: ERJ captures electric aviation market (65%); financial challenges constrain growth (30%); strategic partnerships boost market share (50%).




Trading Oracle: Use a bullish debit call spread by buying March 2025 $40 calls and selling March 2025 $45 calls. This leverages strong strategic outlook with improved profit odds, targeting a 3-month time frame and capitalizing on expected uptick in implied volatility.



December 28, 2024


Embraer Forecast

ERJ        Embraer











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COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ERJ



UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (0.0)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.02)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ERJ



RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.9)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.91)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.92)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.93)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)









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