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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ET's price is boosted by high call volume, bullish tenor risk, and implied volatility backwardation indicating potential upward moves.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and trading at $20.1, a significant drop over 10 years, hint at cautious sentiment amid regulatory and debt concerns.



Potential Outcomes: 40% price increase from strategic growth; 30% stagnation due to volatility; 20% decline if negative macros persist; 10% surprise spike from external markets.



Trading Oracle: Execute a mixed strategy: deploy bullish debit spreads with near-term expiries (30-60 days) to exploit high IV and potential upward movement. Initiate short credit spreads for far-term stability, capitalizing on premium decay. Focus on strikes near $20, balancing risk and reward.


February 11, 2025


Energy Transfer LP Forecast

ET        Energy Transfer LP

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