F Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Ford's robust EV investments and favorable domestic assembly positioning under new tariffs could increase market share. The elevated implied volatility suggests optimism for future gains.




Bearish Case: Sustained high competition in the EV sector, exacerbated by new tariffs, may weaken Ford's profit margins. Historical return patterns indicate low returns in similar conditions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • EV growth boosts sales: 55%
  • Tariff impact lowers profits: 30%
  • Competitor pressure erodes market share: 15%



April 12, 2025


Ford Motor Forecast

F        Ford Motor











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