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Bullish Case: With Ford's sales pushing upwards due to innovative strategies in EVs, alongside imminent positive earnings reports, sentiment could swing favorably, leading to a price rebound.



Bearish Case: Continuous labor strikes and heightened EV competition could compress margins, leading to diminished investor confidence and a drop in stock value owing to subpar performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful resolution of labor disputes - 60% chance.

2. Market share erosion due to competition - 40% chance.

3. Increased demand from strategic EV initiatives - 55% chance.

4. Major EV failures impacting growth - 30% chance.



Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish debit spread by buying the F 11/08/2024 10.50 C and selling the 11.00 C, capturing potential upside while managing risk due to elevated implied volatility and strong market sentiment towards Ford's innovations.


November 05, 2024


Ford Motor Forecast

F        Ford Motor

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