AI FAD Forecast


Bullish Case: With increasing historical returns indicating positive long-term growth, the current implied volatility reflects market uncertainty which may present buying opportunities. Given sector resilience and AI's continual integration, FAD could appreciate significantly.


Bearish Case: Market sentiment shows potential for sector corrections, especially with elevated volatility forecasts. Economic headwinds and potential tech downturns could lead to bearish price movement, undermining investor confidence.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued flat price action (40%)

2. Moderate bullish trend (30%)

3. Significant sector correction (20%)

4. Earnings surprise leading to rapid price shift (10%). Probabilities derived from historical patterns and current volatility data.


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September 14, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Multi Cap Growth AlphaDEX Forecast

FAD      First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Multi Cap Growth AlphaDEX











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FAD



VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.98)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.98)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.98)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.98)


IWB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell 1000 (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FAD



NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (-0.0)


GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GUSH  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.0)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.01)


CHK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHK  Chesapeake Energy (-0.01)


MT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MT  New York Shares (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FAD



RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.95)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.96)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.97)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)





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