FDS Forecast


Bullish Case: FDS may see a positive turnaround driven by decreased interest rates anticipated in early 2025, which will boost client spending. Strong historical performance supports growth potential.


Bearish Case: If current market volatility and insider selling continue, FDS could decline further. Analysts' downgrades and a flat options term structure indicate increased downside risk.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic stabilization leading to 50% chance of growth in FDS.

2. Continued declines with 30% probability due to sector pressure.

3. Sideways market with 20% likelihood as investors reassess valuations.


Trading Oracle: Position for bullish sentiment using a debit spread by buying FDS 450C and selling FDS 460C, expiration August 2024. With volatility expected to rise, this captures upside potential while limiting downside risk, maximizing reward-to-risk ratio.


July 25, 2024


Factset Research Systems Forecast

FDS      Factset Research Systems











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SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (0.57)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MDLZ  Mondelez International (0.53)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (0.5)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FDS



H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.0)


VMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VMC  Vulcan Materials (-0.01)


DLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLR  Digital Realty (-0.02)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.03)


INSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSP  Inspire Medical Systems (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FDS



ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (-0.47)


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (-0.48)


GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GUSH  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.54)


GOEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOEV  Canoo (-0.59)





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