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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FTAI's robust historical growth and bullish sentiment, reflected in higher call volume and elevated Helium implied volatility, suggests continued upward price momentum, supported by potential infrastructure investments and strong market demand.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility compared to historical averages, combined with a flat options term structure, may indicate market overextension and profit-taking risks, potentially leading to near-term corrections.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued bull run towards $200 (60% chance) driven by investment interest.
  • Price stagnation around $180 (25% chance) as market digests recent gains.
  • Drop to support at $150 (15% chance) due to profit-taking and heightened volatility.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread: buy the FTAI $180 calls and sell $185 calls with a target expiration in December, capitalizing on upward momentum and favorable volatility, offering a 70% probability of profit and high reward-to-risk scenario.


November 23, 2024


Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors Forecast

FTAI        Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors

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CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (0.98)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.98)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FTAI


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (0.0)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (0.01)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.02)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.02)


QURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QURE  uniQure (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FTAI


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.92)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.92)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.92)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.95)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.97)







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