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FTAI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FTAI's strategic shift to asset-light, combined with robust EBITDA forecasts and elevated call volumes, suggests continued strong performance and investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Heightened implied volatility and flat term structure indicate potential overextension, with market unease about economic conditions possibly leading to profit-taking.

Potential Outcomes: FTAI will likely rise (50%), remain stable (30%), or fall due to economic pressures (20%). Current volatility metrics and strategic initiatives inform these estimates.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy FTAI $160 calls, sell $165 calls (expiring 4 months). Leverage positive volatility skew, expecting continued upward movement. This strategy balances potential upside with limited downside risk.

January 08, 2025

Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors Forecast

FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FTAI

TT Trane (0.93)

CRS Carpenter Technology (0.91)

AFL Aflac (0.91)

KGC Kinross Gold (0.9)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FTAI

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.0)

ACB Aurora Cannabis (0.0)

GL Globe Life (0.01)

TMDX Transmedics (0.01)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FTAI

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)

XRX Xerox (-0.9)

COTY Coty (-0.9)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.9)

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