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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FTAI's robust historical growth and bullish sentiment, reflected in higher call volume and elevated Helium implied volatility, suggests continued upward price momentum, supported by potential infrastructure investments and strong market demand.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility compared to historical averages, combined with a flat options term structure, may indicate market overextension and profit-taking risks, potentially leading to near-term corrections.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued bull run towards $200 (60% chance) driven by investment interest.
  • Price stagnation around $180 (25% chance) as market digests recent gains.
  • Drop to support at $150 (15% chance) due to profit-taking and heightened volatility.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread: buy the FTAI $180 calls and sell $185 calls with a target expiration in December, capitalizing on upward momentum and favorable volatility, offering a 70% probability of profit and high reward-to-risk scenario.


November 23, 2024


Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors Forecast

FTAI        Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors

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TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.98)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (0.98)


MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (0.97)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FTAI


CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.01)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.01)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (-0.01)


AVTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVTR  Avantor (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FTAI


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.94)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.94)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.94)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.96)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)







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