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HD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Home Depot's strategic pricing strategy amidst tariffs and strong U.S. sourcing buffer against external pressures. Long-term bullish due to DIY trends and consistent historical returns.

Bearish Case: HD faces macroeconomic challenges like tariffs and interest rates, coupled with consumer spending shifts. Volatility and backwardation add to downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Stable sales due to tariff resilience - 50%
2. Macroeconomic weakening impacts revenues - 30%
3. Strategic investments boost market share - 20%

June 04, 2025

Home Depot Forecast

HD Home Depot

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly with HD

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.91)

IYT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (0.9)

KKR KKR (0.9)

BX Blackstone (0.9)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HD

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.0)

MGM MGM Resorts International (-0.0)

NXPI NXP Semiconductors (-0.0)

ES Eversource Energy (-0.0)

M Macy's (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HD

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.49)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.51)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.57)

STNE StoneCo (-0.62)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.71)

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