HES Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: HES benefits from ongoing investments in Guyana, a flat volatility term structure, and bullish option risk outweighing bearish by 38%.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline indicate market concerns. Regulatory shifts and geopolitical tensions could further pressure HES.




Potential Outcomes: Guyana production growth boosts stock: 60%; regulatory issues cause declines: 25%; geopolitical tensions: 15%.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying HES 03/21/2025 $135 calls and selling $145 calls. Helium's high IV suggests potential upside. Aim for 30-day horizon, leveraging reduced competition and Guyana's growth. Optimize for high reward/risk, with positive edge.



January 02, 2025


Hess Forecast

HES        Hess











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