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HES Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong production in Guyana, 42% more bullish risk versus bearish, and 72% more call option volume indicate upside, supported by mean-reversion history.

Bearish Case: High P/B ratio, geopolitical risks, and market volatility, coupled with flat term structure, suggest potential downside despite bullish sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: Oil stability boosts HES: 55%
Geopolitical tensions decrease value: 25%
Regulatory changes impact HES: 20%

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June 21, 2025

Hess Forecast

HES Hess

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HES

CVX Chevron (0.94)

INTC Intel (0.64)

USO United States Commodity Funds (0.63)

HTGC Hercules (0.59)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.55)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HES

DHI D.R. Horton (0.01)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.01)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.01)

BYRN Byrna (-0.01)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HES

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.39)

NGG National Grid (-0.47)

FE Firstenergy (-0.49)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.57)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.64)

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