HOG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HOG might benefit from increased brand loyalty and diversification into electric models. Historical event-driven spikes in volatility could support positive price movements.




Bearish Case: Sustained underperformance, competitive challenges, and economic pressures, combined with high implied volatility over short to medium terms, suggest continued struggles for HOG.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth in EV segment (30%): Boost in brand image.
  • Continued price decline (50%): Economic pressures persist.
  • Short-term stabilization (20%): Temporary market corrections.



March 20, 2025


Harley-Davidson Forecast

HOG        Harley-Davidson











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LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.86)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.82)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HOG



BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (0.0)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.01)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.01)


CWEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEN  Clearway Energy (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOG



EUO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EUO  ProShares UltraShort Euro (-0.8)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.81)


EAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EAT  Brinker International (-0.82)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.84)


DESP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DESP  Despegar.com (-0.85)









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