Bullish Case: HOG's new model Hydra-Glide Revival and successful events like HOG Rally and Homecoming Festival may strengthen the brand and boost sales, especially with a strong uptick in recent options trading.


Bearish Case: A history of underperformance, flat price action, and recent test-drive fatality could dampen consumer sentiment and lead to continued stock price declines for HOG.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Hydra-Glide success boosts sales (30%).

2. Event-driven brand strengthening increases stock value (40%).

3. Negative sentiment from fatality leads to stock drop (30%).


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April 17, 2024


Harley-Davidson Forecast

HOG        Harley-Davidson
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with HOG



DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DOW]  Dow (0.87)


GOTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GOTU]  Gaotu Techedu (0.86)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TMO]  Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.86)


CRUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CRUS]  Cirrus Logic (0.85)


HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HBM]  Hudbay Minerals (0.85)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to HOG



NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NKE]  Nike (0.0)


EVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EVLV]  Evolv (0.0)


CMCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CMCL]  Caledonia Mining (-0.0)


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AUPH]  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


SBSW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SBSW]  Sibanye Stillwater (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOG



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UUUU]  Energy Fuels (-0.65)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DRV]  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRTY]  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.71)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TZA]  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRS]  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.72)





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