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HOOD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Growing trading volumes and rising user engagement, alongside strategic partnerships in the crypto space, could propel HOOD's growth, potentially breaking into the $35-$40 range as investor sentiment shifts positively.



Bearish Case: Persisting macroeconomic challenges and regulatory scrutiny could stifle growth, potentially dragging HOOD back towards $25 or lower as volatility remains elevated, especially with a high implied volatility forecast.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Improved trading fundamentals (30%);

2) Ongoing macro issues (50%);

3) Strategic partnerships boosting investor confidence (15%);

4) Regulatory setbacks harming growth (5%).



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance through a debit spread, purchasing HOOD $35 calls and selling $37 calls, with expiration in mid-December. This leverages high implied volatility and potential for upward price movement around earnings. Risk management remains critical, monitor key regulatory developments closely.


November 12, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HOOD


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.95)


RDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDW  Redwire (0.95)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.95)


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.94)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HOOD


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (0.0)


JNJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNJ  Johnson & Johnson (-0.01)


SBUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBUX  Starbucks (-0.02)


AKBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKBA  Akebia Therapeutics (0.02)


TTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTE  TotalEnergies SE (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOOD


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.86)


AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.87)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.88)


COUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COUR  Coursera (-0.9)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.95)







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