HUN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Huntsman's potential rebound is driven by strategic partnerships and innovations in specialty chemicals. The current implied volatility structure suggests market stabilization, providing a solid ground for potential growth.




Bearish Case: Rising competitive pressures and high implied volatility signal continued bearish sentiment. Weak demand and broad economic challenges pose risks of further stock declines, especially given negative price trends.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45%: Stabilization with moderate upside on innovation success.
  • 35%: Continued decline due to market pressures and high IV.
  • 20%: Significant uptick with strong earnings outcomes.




Trading Oracle: Adopt a Bearish Long Volatility strategy, given high implied volatility and competitive pressures. Buy 3 $17.0 put options, sell 2 $16.0 strikes, ensuring strategic exposure to declines while limiting risk with upside cap.



March 11, 2025


Huntsman Forecast

HUN        Huntsman











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