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AI IAI Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: IAI's recent $1 billion satellite deal enhances revenue outlook. Historical data indicates favorable returns in 1-2 year horizons, supporting bullish sentiment amidst reduced market volatility.

Bearish Case: Market uncertainty persists with elevated implied volatility. Recent flat performance, combined with potential geopolitical tensions, could lead to downward pressure on IAI’s price.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of modest growth, driven by new contracts.

2. 30% chance of flat performance as market stabilizes.

3. 20% chance of decline due to rising market volatility.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a debit spread (long volatility strategy) by buying $130 calls and selling $140 calls, aiming for stability while capitalizing on potential upward price movement in the medium term. This setup balances risk and reward effectively.

August 20, 2024

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Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IAI

EVR Evercore (0.99)

GS Goldman Sachs Group (0.99)

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.98)

SPLG SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.98)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.98)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IAI

GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties (-0.0)

IMAX Imax (-0.0)

ARCH Arch Resources (0.0)

LUMN Lumen (0.01)

CSGP Costar Group (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IAI

MED Medifast (-0.93)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.95)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.96)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)

IAI News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

Balanced News

Balanced News / Sources

Tech / Memes / Politics

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