ICE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ICE's strategic acquisitions, robust market positioning, and favorable option trading trends signal potential growth amid regulatory adaptability and financial strength.




Bearish Case: Insider selling, stiff competition, and regulatory scrutiny raise valuation concerns, suggesting possible stagnation or downsides despite historical robustness.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Growth due to strategic initiatives (60%).
  2. Stagnation from competition and regulation (30%).
  3. Decline from unforeseen shocks (10%).



March 12, 2025


Intercontinental Exchange Forecast

ICE        Intercontinental Exchange











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICE



SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (0.9)


XLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLP  Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.88)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.88)


WPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPM  Wheaton Precious Metals (0.88)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICE



AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (0.0)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (-0.02)


NWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NWL  Newell Brands (-0.02)


XPEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPEL  Reg S (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICE



AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.81)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.82)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.82)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.82)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.82)









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