ICE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ICE's robust market position and strategic developments support a bullish outlook. Strong call option volumes and the helium model indicating lower volatility suggest potential upward movement close to current execution.




Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and insider selling indicate risks. The contango in term structure suggests future uncertainty, potentially leading to price stagnation or decline if macroeconomic conditions worsen.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 65% chance of growth driven by strong market positioning and strategic initiatives.
  2. 25% chance of stagnation due to competitive pressures and regulatory concerns.
  3. 10% chance of decline from unforeseen disruptions or policy changes.



June 09, 2025


Intercontinental Exchange Forecast

ICE        Intercontinental Exchange











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICE



CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (0.88)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.86)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (0.85)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.78)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICE



VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.01)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.01)


SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (0.01)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (-0.01)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICE



ALTG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALTG  Alta Equipment (-0.69)


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.71)


HP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HP  Helmerich & Payne (-0.72)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.73)


ELF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ELF  e.l.f. Beauty (-0.76)









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