ICE Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The low implied volatility suggests a potential price rebound for ICE. Strong historical performance and market anticipation of growth support a bullish outlook, especially with trading volume focusing more on calls, indicating positive sentiment.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider selling indicate potential headwinds for ICE, raising concerns about valuation. Recent price stagnation and regulatory risks could lead to downward pressure on stock performance.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price increase due to positive earnings, 50%.

2. Continued stagnation around current levels, 30%.

3. Significant drop due to regulatory changes, 20%.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy by implementing a debit spread: buy $160 calls and sell $165 calls expiring in 35 days. This leverages ICE's strong historical performance and low implied volatility, with an expected return of 30%. High probability of profit aligns with recent bullish sentiment in the options market.



November 03, 2024


Intercontinental Exchange Forecast

ICE        Intercontinental Exchange











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICE



DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.93)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.92)


ISRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ISRG  Intuitive Surgical (0.92)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.91)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICE



TMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMF  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (0.0)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICE



HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.85)


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.86)


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (-0.88)


CAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAR  Avis Budget (-0.88)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.9)


ICE News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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