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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Strong fundamentals in the medical sector, combined with high likelihood of mean reversion, suggest potential price rally beyond $60. The favorable implied volatility structure supports bullish positions.



Bearish Case: Regulatory concerns and high valuation could cap price gains, potentially leading to downward pressure. The low trading volume indicates lack of strong bullish conviction among traders.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rally to $61 (40%);

2. Stabilization around $58 (30%);

3. Down trend back to $54 (30%). Outcomes based on historical mean reversion trends and volatility structures.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy using a debit spread: buy $59 calls and sell $60 calls expiring in 51 days for higher reward-to-risk. Implied volatility supports potential upside moves. Strong historical returns and a bullish outlook make this a solid play.


October 31, 2024


BTC iShares U.S. Medical Forecast

IHI        BTC iShares U.S. Medical

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