ILMN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Illumina's strong R&D and leadership in genomic sequencing provide long-term growth prospects, with opportunities in new markets despite regulatory challenges.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks, Chinese bans, and high operational costs could further impact Illumina's financial performance, alongside rising competition.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Economy recovery boosts sales (25%)
  • Continued regulatory challenges (30%)
  • Resolution of Grail issues favorably (20%)
  • Market share erosion from competitors (25%)




Trading Oracle:

Given high implied volatility and regulatory risks, a Bearish Short Volatility strategy (selling ATM call options and buying OTM call options) exploits volatility overpricing.



March 30, 2025


Illumina Forecast

ILMN        Illumina











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ILMN



BLCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLCO  BLCO (0.79)


RRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRX  Regal Rexnord (0.78)


ACLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACLX  Arcellx (0.77)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.76)


TOL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TOL  Toll Brothers (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ILMN



SAND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAND  Sandstorm Gold (0.0)


CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (0.0)


QSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QSR  Restaurant Brands International (0.01)


PG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PG  Procter & Gamble (0.01)


VZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VZ  Verizon Communications (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ILMN



ACI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACI  Albertsons Companies (-0.54)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.54)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.59)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.71)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.72)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with ILMN


 Ask any question about ILMN!