QSR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: QSR’s international expansion and digital sales growth provide a strong bullish case as operations stabilize. The implied volatility drop may signal potential upward price momentum.




Bearish Case: Persistently low market volatility and recent price declines suggest underlying challenges. Operational inefficiencies and supply chain issues could exert downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance: Stable growth from expansion and digital sales.
  • 30% chance: Stagnation due to operational hurdles and low volatility.
  • 20% chance: Decline from supply chain and efficiency issues.




Trading Oracle:
Utilize Bullish Long Volatility given low implied volatility and potential upward momentum from expansion strategies. Consider buying OOTM call options to profit from any positive price swings.



March 18, 2025


Restaurant Brands International Forecast

QSR        Restaurant Brands International











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