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IONQ Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: IONQ's strategic partnerships and advancements in quantum tech provide potential for growth. Increasing qubit capacity and reduced error rates enhance its competitive edge.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and significant recent declines raise concerns. Persistent insider selling and financial instability may weaken investor confidence, leading to further stock drops.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Growth from strategic partnerships.
  • 30%: Decline due to insider selling.
  • 20%: Uncertain market conditions influence prices.
  • 10%: Rapid growth from technological breakthroughs.



Trading Oracle: Given the high implied volatility and bearish sentiment, consider Bearish Long Volatility. Buy OOTM put options to capitalize on downside risk. The backwardation in the term structure and high heliums to market volatility differential supports this position.


March 05, 2025











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