IONQ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IonQ's strategic partnerships and continual technological advancements position them for significant growth, supported by high qubit capacity and strong innovation.




Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and the market's backwardation indicate skepticism about IonQ's near-term viability, compounded by competitive pressures and insider selling.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% growth due to technological breakthroughs.
  • 30% decline from competitive pressures and insider selling.
  • 20% minimal change amid market volatility.




Trading Oracle:

Implement Bullish Short Volatility: Selling ATM puts and buying more OOTM puts exploits market overly bearish sentiment, benefits from near-term backwardation and favorable volatility edge. High odds suggest profitable short-term positioning.



April 06, 2025










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TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (0.87)


BBW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBW  Build A Bear Workshop (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IONQ



ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.0)


LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.01)


DOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOC  Physicians Realty (-0.01)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IONQ



ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (-0.72)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.73)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.74)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.78)


ASC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASC  Ardmore Shipping (-0.79)









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