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JAZZ Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The positive European regulatory recommendations and high call option volume signal potential for upward movement if FDA approvals align, with options term structure supporting potential volatility spikes.



Bearish Case: Recent legal challenges and reliance on key drugs pose significant risks. The persistent backwardation in the term structure signals market unease, and historical underperformance raises concerns.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful pipeline advancements drive 30% increase (60%).

2. Regulatory setbacks cause 20% drop (25%).

3. Stable performance with minor movements (15%).


May 15, 2025


Jazz Pharmaceuticals Forecast

JAZZ        Jazz Pharmaceuticals

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