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JD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: JD’s strong logistics expansion and market entry strategies, specifically in Southeast Asia, capitalize on economic recovery and increased consumer spending, potentially lifting share prices.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges, heightened competition, and geopolitical tensions pose significant risks to JD’s growth, potentially depressing future returns despite logistics innovations.

Potential Outcomes: Regulatory pressure increases (30%)
Consumer demand rebounds (50%)
Intense competition impacts growth (60%)

April 25, 2025

JD.com Forecast

JD JD.com

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with JD

YINN Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.95)

PGJ Invesco Golden Dragon China (0.93)

TIGR UP Fintech (0.88)

MP MP Materials (0.81)

VNET VNET (0.75)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JD

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (0.0)

UNH Unitedhealth (-0.0)

DDD 3D Systems (-0.0)

VOD Vodafone (0.01)

ZIM Zim Integrated Shipping Services (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JD

KURA Kura Oncology (-0.64)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.65)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.68)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.69)

CAL Caleres (-0.69)

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