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JEPI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: A strong recovery in tech markets and stable dividend yields could drive JEPI higher. The current implied volatility indicates potential for upward movement as investors seek income from equities amidst low rates.



Bearish Case: Market volatility remains elevated, and the bearish bias observed in put option volumes suggests downside risks. Economic headwinds and tech sector corrections could suppress JEPI's price performance.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Tech stocks rebound, boosting JEPI (60%).

2) Market volatility leads to increased option selling risks (25%).

3) Dividend appeals drive steady inflows keeping JEPI stable (15%).



Trading Oracle: Consider establishing credit spreads, such as selling the JEPI 58 Call and buying the 59 Call, targeting short-term volatility decay as implied volatility is relatively low. Given the current bearish sentiment, this offers a favorable risk-reward profile and aligns with potential market stabilization.


October 24, 2024


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JEPI        JPMorgan Equity Premium Income

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DDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDM  ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.95)


CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRH  CRH Plc (0.95)


USFD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USFD  US Foods (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JEPI


BUD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BUD  Anheuser-Busch (0.01)


AAOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAOI  Applied Optoelectronics (-0.01)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (-0.01)


BMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMO  Bank of Montreal (-0.01)


RGTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGTI  Rigetti Computing (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JEPI


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.77)


HLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HLF  Herbalife Nutrition (-0.79)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.81)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.87)







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