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JEPI Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Expectations for a market stabilization due to lower implied volatility (sub-5% on recent calls) suggest investor confidence. Positive trends in tech and continued dividend appeal may drive JEPI up.



Bearish Case: Heightened market uncertainties, reflected in higher historical downturns for JEPI (returns skewed negatively in holding windows), indicate a potential for a price correction ahead, especially if economic conditions worsen.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Stabilization in markets leading to JEPI price rise (40%)
  • Dividend cuts due to poor performance (20%)
  • Tech sector rebound elevating JEPI significantly (30%)
  • Increased volatility disrupting price stability (10%)



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish approach with a debit spread: Buy JEPI 60C and sell 61C, leveraging low implied volatility. Anticipate a shift in market dynamics towards earnings with a target of 3-4 weeks. Retain a bearish hedge through put options in case of downside risk amidst rising volatility.


November 24, 2024


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V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (0.86)


LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.85)


VBK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VBK  Vanguard Small Cap Growth (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JEPI


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.0)


VNDA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNDA  Vanda Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.01)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JEPI


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.69)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.73)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.73)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.73)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.73)







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