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JOE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Joe's strategic land holdings in Florida and ongoing real estate projects suggest resilience and potential for long-term growth, supported by optimistic social sentiment.



Bearish Case: Despite strategic projects, elevated implied volatility indicates market skepticism, possible economic pressures, and a recent price decline suggest downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Moderate growth from strategic initiatives: 50%
  • Volatility impacting prices: 35%
  • Flat performance due to market skepticism: 15%



Trading Oracle: Consider Bearish Long Volatility given the elevated implied volatility. This strategy enables profit from potential downward moves while controlling risk by buying OOTM put options and selling fewer further OOTM put options. It aligns with market volatility trends for high returns.


May 03, 2025


St. Joe Forecast

JOE        St. Joe

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Uncorrelated Assets

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CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.0)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (0.01)


BHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHC  Bausch Health Companies (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JOE


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V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.76)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.77)


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