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KIRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Kirkland's potential turnaround is supported by strong historical gains for long-term holders and recent strategic repositioning despite flat price action.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility, negative sentiment, and flat price action signal market skepticism, with risks from legal issues and macroeconomic pressures.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful strategic initiatives lead to gradual recovery, price rises to $3.5 (40%).

2. Continued stagnation around $1.5 due to macro/legal issues (35%).

3. Decline below $1.2 amid ongoing challenges (25%).

Trading Oracle: Implement a bear put spread by selling KIRK 07/18/2025 $2 puts and buying $1.5 puts. This strategy benefits from high implied volatility and potential declines, offering favorable risk-reward. Monitor for significant news impacting sentiment.

January 28, 2025

Kirkland's Forecast

KIRK Kirkland's

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KIRK

FPI Farmland (-0.0)

V Visa (0.0)

APH Amphenol (0.0)

CRON Cronos (-0.01)

VOYA Voya Financial (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KIRK

MCK Mckesson (-0.63)

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JPM JPMorgan Chase (-0.66)

LRN Stride (-0.67)

LINC Lincoln Educational Services (-0.69)

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