LAC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: EV demand and strong investor interest could drive LAC higher, supported by recent call option activity and strategic partnerships.




Bearish Case: Persistent legal challenges and market volatility may hinder LAC's ability to recover, as indicated by declining historical returns.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Improved project execution boosts stock (35%).
  2. Legal setbacks reduce value (30%).
  3. EV demand lifts pricing (25%).
  4. Continued flat performance (10%).




Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish long volatility strategy by buying out-of-the-money puts and selling further OOTM puts. The high implied volatility and historical trends favor this approach. Link: Bearish Strategy



March 12, 2025


Lithium Americas Forecast

LAC        Lithium Americas











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LAC



TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.75)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (0.73)


SITE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SITE  SiteOne Landscape Supply (0.68)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.68)


PLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLAB  Photronics (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LAC



RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (0.01)


QQQJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QQQJ  Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 (0.01)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.01)


ADSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADSK  Autodesk (-0.01)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAC



XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.61)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.63)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.64)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.74)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.74)









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