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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: LAC could rebound due to increased EV demand and upcoming government support, particularly after General Motors' substantial investment in Thacker Pass. This, alongside potential positive legal developments, sets the stage for a price surge.



Bearish Case: Lingering legal challenges related to the Thacker Pass project pose significant risks, potentially deterring investors and suppressing share price despite favorable market conditions for lithium.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive legal outcomes for Thacker Pass (35%).

2. Continued market pressure leading to share price decline (30%).

3. Increased demand for lithium due to EV growth (25%).

4. Significant regulatory setbacks hindering progress (10%).



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November 13, 2024


Lithium Americas Forecast

LAC        Lithium Americas

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Uncorrelated Assets

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NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.0)


SEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEE  Sealed Air (-0.0)


QURE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QURE  uniQure (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAC


PPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPH  VanEck Pharmaceutical (-0.86)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.87)


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (-0.88)


CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (-0.88)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.89)







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