LBTYA Forecast


Bullish Case: Liberty Global (LBTYA) is well-positioned for growth due to its strong market presence in converged broadband and strategic acquisitions like Formula E. Increasing implied volatility suggests heightened market interest, potentially signaling upward price movement.


Bearish Case: Challenges persist for LBTYA as fluctuating market conditions and structural industry pressures may hinder recovery. Recent negative earnings and high volatility indicate significant downside risks, leading to potential price declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Favorable quarterly report boosting prices (20%);

2. Continued industry struggles causing declines (45%);

3. Stable sideways trading with minor fluctuations (35%). Market volatility and economic conditions play critical roles in shaping these outcomes.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a debit spread strategy by buying LBTYA 01/17/2025 $22.50 calls while selling $20 calls. This captures potential upside with limited risk, leveraging the elevated implied volatility for a positive reward-to-risk ratio. Focus on a bullish outlook through 2025.


July 25, 2024


Liberty Global plc Forecast

LBTYA      Liberty Global plc











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LBTYA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.06)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LBTYA



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.06)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.18)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LBTYA



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.18)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.06)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.12)





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