LE Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Current high implied volatility (over 80%) suggests that market participants anticipate large price movements, pointing to bullish sentiment. Historical return data indicates strong upside potential, especially over shorter terms, supporting possible price appreciation for LE.




Bearish Case: Deeply elevated implied volatility (500% for puts) reflects significant downside risk and market skepticism, particularly considering recent low trading volumes and flat price action. Upcoming events could further exacerbate volatility and negatively impact LE's outlook.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rises >$18 (30%);

2. Price stabilizes between $15-$18 (50%);

3. Price drops below $15 (20%);

4. Major macroeconomic impacts increase uncertainty, driving volatility (40%).These estimates consider recent market trends and event intensity.




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November 13, 2024


Lands' End Forecast

LE        Lands' End











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LE



MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (0.94)


SF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SF  Stifel Financial (0.94)


TPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPC  Tutor Perini (0.93)


JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.93)


GS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GS  Goldman Sachs Group (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LE



EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXTR  Extreme Networks (0.0)


CCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCI  Crown Castle International (-0.0)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.0)


BNTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNTX  BioNTech SE (-0.01)


BG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BG  Bunge (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LE



SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.86)


SAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVE  Spirit Airlines (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.88)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.88)









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