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Bullish Case: LSPD's options term structure indicates increasing volatility into November, suggesting potential bullish momentum. Strong upcoming earnings expectations could catalyze a price recovery, driven by market confidence and insider activity.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility combined with flat recent price action suggests market uncertainty. Risks from regulatory scrutiny and declining sales may weigh heavily, limiting LSPD's upside and potentially resulting in further declines.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings growth exceeding expectations: 60% chance.

2. Market downturn leading to a 15% drop: 30% chance.

3. Regulatory inquiries causing a 10% decline: 20% chance.

4. Insider buying stimulating a 20% rise: 25% chance.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying 2 $15 calls and selling 1 $16 call expiring in November. Target volatility with positive edge and favorable risk/reward. Focus on capturing potential upside and capitalize on increasing volatility.

September 04, 2024


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LSPD      Lightspeed Commerce Inc (Sub Voting)

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LSPD


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (0.78)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.73)


ROKU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROKU  Roku (0.72)


BHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHP  BHP Group Limited (0.72)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LSPD


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (-0.0)


CAH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAH  Cardinal Health (0.0)


BNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNS  Bank Of Nova Scotia (-0.0)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.0)


SQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQ  Square (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LSPD


J Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   J  Jacobs Engineering Group (-0.62)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.62)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.63)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.65)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (-0.67)



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