Bullish Case: LSB Industries is undervalued with secular growth tailwinds from green energy transition and benefits from lower North American energy costs. Gas price disparity gives competitive production edge. Recent balance sheet improvements and reduced competition suggest readiness for cyclical recovery.


Bearish Case: Recent earnings miss and reduced forecasts imply ongoing struggles. Analyst sentiment is bearish with lower price targets. Expected revenue decline in industry outperformance context signals potential continued underperformance.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Cyclical recovery strengthens financials: 25%.

2) Continued earnings miss drags shares: 35%.

3) Green energy tailwinds lift performance: 20%.

4) Industry outgrowth remains unmet: 20%.


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April 11, 2024


LSB Industries Forecast

LXU        LSB Industries
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with LXU



AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AEHR]  Aehr Test Systems (0.92)


EXTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EXTR]  Extreme Networks (0.9)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AMRC]  Ameresco (0.89)


BIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BIDU]  Baidu (0.89)


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NYCB]  New York Community Bancorp (0.88)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to LXU



VWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VWO]  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (0.0)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DOCN]  DigitalOcean (0.0)


KNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KNX]  Knight-Swift Transportation (-0.01)


BCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BCS]  Barclays (-0.01)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MDLZ]  Mondelez International (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against LXU



GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GEO]  Geo Group (-0.8)


BDRY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BDRY]  Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping (-0.81)


TMUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TMUS]  T-Mobile US (-0.82)


IDT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IDT]  IDT Corp. - (-0.84)


WING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WING]  Wingstop (-0.85)





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