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MAA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MAA's strong fundamentals, robust demand in Sunbelt regions, and attractive cap rates support growth potential. Historical returns suggest a favorable likelihood of stable gains over longer holding periods.

Bearish Case: Increased implied volatility and recent flat price action hint at market uncertainty. Legal issues and oversupply concerns in Sunbelt markets pose downside risks, potentially impacting rental income and investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of modest growth as demand outpaces supply; 35% risk of price stagnation due to legal issues and oversupply; 15% probability of decline with economic headwinds.

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July 03, 2025

Mid-America Apartment Communities Forecast

MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MAA

FNF Fidelity National Financial (0.73)

YUM Yum Brands (0.66)

PPL PPL (0.64)

DUK Duke Energy (0.64)

COMP Compass (0.63)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAA

BEPC Brookfield Renewable (-0.0)

RF Regions Financial (-0.0)

HSIC Henry Schein (0.0)

EA Electronic Arts (0.0)

VHT Vanguard Health Care (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAA

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.5)

USO United States Commodity Funds (-0.55)

GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (-0.55)

ELF e.l.f. Beauty (-0.59)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.63)

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