Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: MAGA’s low implied volatility combined with historical resilience during Republican wins suggest upward price potential as political momentum builds. A likely rally post-inauguration could boost sentiment significantly.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates considerable market uncertainty, particularly around political instability and potential legislative gridlock. If adversarial events materialize, a sharp decline in MAGA's price could ensue.

Potential Outcomes:

• Republican control boosts MAGA by 50% likelihood.
• Continued flat prices due to political gridlock at 30% likelihood.
• Significant adverse events lead to declines with 20% chance.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread on MAGA, buying calls at the $49 strike and selling at the $51 strike, capitalizing on potential price recovery while managing risk. Leverage the current low volatility for favorable entry, targeting gains post-political developments.

December 20, 2024