MANU Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive developments such as club performance, revenue growth, and new strategic partnerships may prompt a strong recovery. High bullish risk despite recent downturns suggests significant upside potential.


Bearish Case: Sustained price decline, high implied volatility, and increased put option trading indicate negative market sentiment. Financial struggles in broadcasting and matchday revenues further support a bearish view.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of price volatility spike due to new earnings or news, 20% continuation of flat trend, 20% further slide. Historical price returns and high implied volatility bolster these probabilities.


Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish long volatility debit spread focusing on high implied volatility near-term options, leveraging Helium's model. Buy near-term ITM calls and sell higher-strike calls to target positive earnings reactions. Estimated time horizon: 1-2 weeks. This approach harnesses positive edge with high reward:risk.


July 23, 2024


Manchester United Plc. Forecast

MANU      Manchester United Plc.











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