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MCB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent urbanization trends and contract wins could drive MCB growth, supported by mean-reverting price action and stable volatility.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and excessive put trading volume suggest skepticism and potential downside, indicated by high volatility in lower strike prices.

Potential Outcomes: Continued legal challenges cause downturn (50%)
Successful urban initiatives drive growth (30%)
Short-term volatility spike (20%)

May 20, 2025

Metropolitan Forecast

MCB Metropolitan

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCB

BAM Brookfield Asset (0.93)

NDAQ Nasdaq (0.92)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.92)

QTWO Q2 (0.91)

SOFI SoFi (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCB

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.01)

HAS Hasbro (0.01)

O Realty Income (-0.01)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.01)

UNH Unitedhealth (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCB

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.67)

OGN Organon (-0.69)

STM New York Shares (-0.7)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.71)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.73)

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