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MCB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent urbanization trends and contract wins could drive MCB growth, supported by mean-reverting price action and stable volatility.

Bearish Case: Legal challenges and excessive put trading volume suggest skepticism and potential downside, indicated by high volatility in lower strike prices.

Potential Outcomes: Continued legal challenges cause downturn (50%)
Successful urban initiatives drive growth (30%)
Short-term volatility spike (20%)

May 20, 2025

Metropolitan Forecast

MCB Metropolitan

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCB

UPST Upstart (0.94)

BAM Brookfield Asset (0.93)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.92)

SOFI SoFi (0.91)

BLK Blackrock (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCB

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.0)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.01)

UUUU Energy Fuels (0.01)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.02)

BBY Best Buy (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCB

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.71)

GSL Global Ship Lease (-0.72)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.73)

XP XP (-0.75)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.79)

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