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MOH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MOH exhibits strong membership growth and strategic acquisitions, supported by implied volatility trends and historical returns, indicating potential upside.

Bearish Case: Persistently high medical costs and regulatory risk threaten earnings, with elevated implied volatility suggesting possible margin pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Cost stabilization boosts stock (65%).
Escalating costs squeeze margins (25%).
Regulatory changes impact (10%).

May 20, 2025

Molina Healthcare Forecast

MOH Molina Healthcare

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOH

NGG National Grid (0.65)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.63)

O Realty Income (0.61)

VOD Vodafone (0.6)

SNY Sanofi (0.55)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOH

CZR Caesars Entertainment (-0.0)

ALL Allstate (-0.01)

UVV Universal (0.02)

ALLY Ally Financial (-0.03)

SG Sweetgreen (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOH

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.56)

AIQ Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (-0.59)

CRGY Crescent Energy Company - (-0.6)

FSK FS KKR (-0.61)

AMZN Amazon.com (-0.62)

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