1. 50% chance of stabilization and moderate growth driven by mean reversion.
2. 35% chance of decline due to high implied volatility and market uncertainty.
3. 15% chance of unexpected volatility spike.
Initiate a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to MTB's mean reversion potential and bearish derivatives volume. Target ATM puts and buy more OOTM puts to capture positive edge from volatility skew. This approach benefits from current market sentiment and implied volatility discrepancies.
Assets that tend to move strongly with MTB
PNC PNC Financial Services (0.96)
BLK Blackrock (0.96)
UPST Upstart (0.94)
AXP American Express (0.94)
KKR KKR (0.93)
Assets with little price relationship to MTB
DDD 3D Systems (-0.01)
KO Coca-Cola (0.01)
TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.01)
HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.02)
AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.02)
Assets that tend to move strongly against MTB
DVN Devon Energy (-0.74)
BMRN Registered Shares (-0.75)
PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.76)
UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.77)
EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.79)
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