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NE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NE could experience a turnaround driven by news of a successful rare earth project and increasing helium demand in tech applications, suggesting growth beyond current prices.

Bearish Case: Price uncertainty skews negative due to high implied volatility and insider selling, with the potential for regulatory issues impacting market confidence further.

Potential Outcomes: (40%) Stabilization around $30 as speculation surrounds upcoming project news.
(30%) Recovery towards $40 based on positive demand shifts.
(20%) Sharp volatility drop below $25 due to unanticipated delays in drilling.
(10%) Sudden price spike above $50 fueled by strategic partnerships and project success.

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December 21, 2024

Noble Forecast

NE Noble

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NE

RIG Transocean (0.96)

VAL Valaris (0.88)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.87)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.85)

LEA Lear (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NE

GTLB Gitlab (-0.0)

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.0)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.01)

DNN Denison Mines (0.02)

WHR Whirlpool (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NE

NOW ServiceNow (-0.78)

COMM CommScope (-0.78)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.8)

GWRE Guidewire Software (-0.8)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.84)

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