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NEXT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NextDecade's Rio Grande project is on track, aligning with global LNG demand growth, suggesting strong revenue potential. Implied volatility trends show sustained interest.

Bearish Case: Insider selling continues alongside high implied volatility, indicating lack of confidence. Environmental concerns could stall projects, pressuring stock prices downward.

Potential Outcomes: Positive project milestones drive a price surge (45%)
Market volatility and insider selling cause decline (35%)
Stability with slight gains from balance of loans and operations (20%)

Trading Oracle: Consider a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to the current high implied volatility and positive project prospects. Selling ATM put options while buying more OOTM puts can capitalize on anticipated stability with upward movement.

March 05, 2025

NextDecade Forecast

NEXT NextDecade

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NEXT

GTLS Chart Industries (0.69)

HIMX Himax (0.68)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.63)

ESTC Elastic (0.62)

SCHW Charles Schwab (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NEXT

PNW Pinnacle West (0.0)

FLR Fluor (-0.0)

SHAK Shake Shack (-0.01)

TRUP Trupanion (0.01)

TRV Travelers Companies (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NEXT

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.65)

FMC FMC (-0.65)

MFA MFA Financial (-0.65)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.68)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.69)

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Trading Strategies

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Short Volatility

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