NGD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With recent call options trading 80% above puts, investor optimism is strong. The price increase of 33.8% in 90 days and Helium’s +2.61% bullish forecast support potential growth.




Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, flat options term structure and high implied volatility signal skepticism. Negative sentiment on X and historical underperformance could hamper further growth.




Potential Outcomes: 45% chance NGD up if gold rallies; 30% chance decline from operational setbacks; 25% flat due to market stagnation.



June 25, 2025


New Gold Forecast

NGD        New Gold











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NGD



PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.84)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (0.81)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (0.81)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (0.8)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NGD



ALV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALV  Autoliv (-0.0)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.0)


OWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OWL  Blue Owl (0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (-0.01)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NGD



REGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REGN  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (-0.78)


HP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HP  Helmerich & Payne (-0.79)


WOLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WOLF  Wolfspeed (-0.79)


FUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUN  Cedar Fair (-0.8)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.83)









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