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WTI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: WTI could rebound if geopolitical tensions disrupt supply, while demand recovers slightly due to economic stability indicators. The historical mean-reverting nature supports a potential correction.



Bearish Case: Continued high inventories and weak demand, alongside geopolitical stability, keep WTI prices under pressure. Negative sentiment and flat volatility trends point towards further declines.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Supply disruption (25%): Price spike.
  • Status quo (50%): Continued flat movement.
  • Demand drop (25%): Further declines.


March 30, 2025


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WTI        W & T Offshore

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WTI


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.9)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.89)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.89)


GOGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOGL  Golden Ocean (0.88)


AEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEO  American Eagle Outfitters (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WTI


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (-0.0)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (-0.01)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.02)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.02)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WTI


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.8)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.8)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.81)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.82)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.83)







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