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WTI Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could disrupt supply, driving WTI prices up. Current bullish bets by hedge funds signal confidence in potential future price gains, supported by increased OPEC+ production discipline.

Bearish Case: High inventory levels and muted global demand keep downward pressure on oil prices. Seasonal demand dips and economic uncertainties, coupled with recent bearish market sentiment, suggest potential declines in WTI.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued geopolitical tensions (30%): Price spike due to disruptions.

2. Seasonal demand drop (25%): Prices may decline.

3. Economic recovery announcements (20%): Bullish shift in investor sentiment.

4. Inventory builds maintain pressure (15%): Prices remain stable to low.

5. OPEC+ surprises (10%): Either cutback or increase production affecting prices significantly.

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November 15, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with WTI

AZUL Azul (0.87)

JACK Jack In The Box (0.86)

COUR Coursera (0.86)

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (0.86)

MOS Mosaic (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WTI

RBLX Roblox Corporation - (-0.0)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)

EPR EPR Properties (0.01)

URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.01)

TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WTI

FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.84)

PG Procter & Gamble (-0.85)

DVA DaVita (-0.85)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.85)

BSX Boston Scientific (-0.86)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.