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NTLA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Recent clinical success for NTLA-2001 could dramatically boost stock prices, with current high implied volatility indicating potential upside in options. A successful FDA application may further enhance market confidence and drive higher investments.



Bearish Case: A failure to obtain regulatory approval for NTLA-2001 may result in a steep decline in stock value. High implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, which could lead to profit-taking amidst unfavorable news.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful NTLA-2001 Phase 3 trials: 65% chance of significant stock rebound.
  • Regulatory approval delays: 25% chance of stock decline.
  • Market volatility affecting biotech sector: 10% chance of impacting NTLA negatively.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish call spread by selling NTLA 01/17/2025 $15 calls and buying $20 calls, targeting a high probability of profit near 70%. Focus on short-term bullish sentiment leveraging anticipated positive trial outcomes. Maintain a balanced approach with risk management to enhance returns.


December 13, 2024


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NTLA        Intellia Therapeutics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NTLA


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.88)


AZUL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZUL  Azul (0.86)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (0.86)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.85)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NTLA


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.01)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.01)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.01)


BE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BE  Bloom Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NTLA


RTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RTX  Raytheon (-0.83)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.84)


CPNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPNG  Coupang (-0.84)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.84)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.84)







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