NVAX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Strong FDA approval for updated vaccines targeting new variants could boost NVAX stock significantly, tapped by rising COVID-19 cases and renewed public interest in vaccines.




Bearish Case: Stagnated demand for Novavax's vaccines, exacerbated by competition from mRNA giants and disappointing uptake, could lead to further price declines as market confidence erodes.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of robust vaccine uptake and approval leads to price recovery.

2. 30% chance of stagnation due to competition limits gains.

3. 20% chance of adverse events impacting stock significantly.




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November 08, 2024


Novavax Forecast

NVAX        Novavax











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