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NVS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent FDA approvals and strategic investments highlight growth potential, while low implied volatility suggests market stability.

Bearish Case: Patent expiration risks and backwardation in implied volatility indicate potential challenges, with looming legal threats impacting sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of growth from strategic drug approvals and manufacturing expansions.
30% risk from patent expirations and legal challenges.
10% chance of competitive pressures affecting market share.

April 13, 2025

Novartis Forecast

NVS Novartis

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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VOD Vodafone (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NVS

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ROST Ross Stores (-0.0)

XRX Xerox (0.0)

TPC Tutor Perini (0.0)

HPK HighPeak Energy (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NVS

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.68)

DAL Delta Air Lines (-0.71)

PLBY PLBY (-0.72)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.73)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.74)

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